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London cyclist casualties fell 10% in 2015

Latest Transport for London figures show a downward trend in cycling deaths and injuries, but concerns have been raised over motorcyclist safety

The number of cyclists killed or seriously injured in London fell by 10 per cent in 2015, according to the latest figures from Transport for London (TfL).

According to TfL’s annual Casualties in Greater London report, the total number of people killed or seriously injured (KSIs) on London’s roads fell by three per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, to the lowest number since records began. This is 42 per cent lower than TfL’s baseline, 2005-09.

Nine cyclists were killed on the capital’s roads in 2015 compared with 13 in 2014. Injuries to people riding bicycles fell by ten per cent to 378, the lowest number since 2006. In 2014, 432 cyclists were seriously injured, in 2013, 475.

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The total number of people killed or seriously injured on London’s roads last year fell from 2,167 to 2,092. However, the number of fatalities rose from 127 to 136 compared with 2014.

The London Cycling Campaign’s (LCC) Tom Bogdanowicz said: “LCC welcomes the fall in injuries and urges the Mayor to pursue policies such as safer lorries and high grade cycle superhighways that will bring the collision rate down further”.

He said: “TfL does not yet publish rate based data (number of injuries per mile travelled) as requested by LCC which means it is hard to assess the actual change in road danger. We understand that TfL are considering publication of such data.”

The cycling KSI figures are set against a background of increasing cycle use in the capital. Cycling levels rose by 10.3 per cent between 2013 and 2014, equating to a 125.3 per cent increase since 2000. It is expected in coming years that in rush hour more people on bikes will enter the capital than cars. A few weeks after the latest protected cycle superhighways opened, cyclist numbers reached 1,200 per hour, outnumbering cars in rush hour.

TfL says that while it is on course for its 50% road casualty reduction target by 2020 concerns remain about motorcyclists. Nine more motorbike riders were killed on the roads in 2015 compared with 2014 (36 up from 27), although TfL points out the long term trend is a downward one, with total motorcycle KSIs down by 32 per cent.

Leon Daniels, Managing Director of Surface Transport at TfL, said: “We are making good progress in reducing death and serious injury on our roads and meeting our target of a 50 per cent reduction by 2020. However, there remains an enormous amount to do and we are, in particular, deeply concerned about the rise in the number of fatal collisions involving motorcyclists.  We are taking a range of actions to tackle this, including working with the Motorcycle Industry Association, funding for accredited training centres and one-to-one motorcycle commuter training, and improving street design for motorcyclists."

TfL's road safety strategy, focuses on tackling the five key sources of road dangers: travelling too fast, distractions, carrying out risky manoeuvers, driving under the influence of drink or drugs and failing to comply with the laws of the road. 

Last year former mayor, Boris Johnson, attributed falling cycling casualty rates in part to Operation Safeway, an ongoing operation by the Metropolitan Police targeting dangerous vehicles, as well as cyclists, on London’s roads. In September, London’s Safer Lorry Scheme came into effect, requiring all vehicles weighing more than 3.5 tonnes to be fitted with sideguards and mirrors.

However, Bogdanowicz points out, of nine cyclist fatalities in 2015, seven involved an HGV, emphasising the importance of London Mayor, Sadiq Khan's commitment to "deliver a direct vision standard for HGVs".

Khan said the standard will be published later this year. He told LCC he will lobby to ensure truck design better takes cyclist safety into account. 

He said: “TfL will also work with vehicle manufacturers, regulators, the Department for Transport and freight operators to ensure proposed standards are as far reaching as practicable within current legislation, are fit for purpose and can be implemented as quickly as possible.

"This standard is the key to getting ever greater numbers of safer trucks operating on the streets of London. I am also developing a plan to enable TfL, the rest of the GLA family and other public and private sector." 

Pedestrian KSIs decreased by six per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, also the lowest number since records began. However, there were two more fatalities compared with the previous year (66 up from 64).

A 31% increase in the number of people seriously injured in private hire vehicles is also a matter for concern, says TfL, in the light of rapid increases in the number of private hire vehicles operating in London. One person was killed in a private hire vehicle in 2015, while 17 were seriously injured. 

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8 comments

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rogermerriman | 7 years ago
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good though worth remebering that the figures are low so care is needed not to put too much weight on them, the killed figures wanders around the low teens most years, and has done for quite some time.

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Dnnnnnn replied to rogermerriman | 7 years ago
1 like

rogermerriman wrote:

good though worth remebering that the figures are low so care is needed not to put too much weight on them, the killed figures wanders around the low teens most years, and has done for quite some time.

True, although the fatalities trend does seem to be generally downward. Serious injuries have increased quite a bit in the past 10 years though, and slight injuries almost doubled. Some of it may be simply due to lots more (inexperienced) cyclists on the road - hence why a rate per 1000km cycled (or similar) would be useful.

http://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/pedal-cyclist-casualties-killed-and-se...

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Paul_C replied to Dnnnnnn | 7 years ago
2 likes
Duncann wrote:

rogermerriman wrote:

good though worth remebering that the figures are low so care is needed not to put too much weight on them, the killed figures wanders around the low teens most years, and has done for quite some time.

True, although the fatalities trend does seem to be generally downward. Serious injuries have increased quite a bit in the past 10 years though, and slight injuries almost doubled. Some of it may be simply due to lots more (inexperienced) cyclists on the road - hence why a rate per 1000km cycled (or similar) would be useful.

http://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/pedal-cyclist-casualties-killed-and-se...

one of the big reasons for the downward trend is the trauma care in Hospitals (and even at the crash scene) has advanced so much...

Plus cars have had a big improvement in their occupant safety rating and recently a change to a more pedestrian 'friendly' front (that's why they all suddenly went ugly in the front recently... and good old Landrover Defenders have had to stop production)

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Rich_cb replied to Paul_C | 7 years ago
0 likes

Paul_C wrote:

one of the big reasons for the downward trend is the trauma care in Hospitals (and even at the crash scene) has advanced so much... Plus cars have had a big improvement in their occupant safety rating and recently a change to a more pedestrian 'friendly' front (that's why they all suddenly went ugly in the front recently... and good old Landrover Defenders have had to stop production)[/quote]

Yep, pretty much the only good thing to have come out our (mis)adventures in Afghanistan/Iraq is a great improvement in major trauma care.

That and better car design probably explain the increase in injuries and decrease in deaths.

People are still getting hit, and just as hard, but they're now more likely to end up permanently disabled rather than dead.

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FluffyKittenofT... replied to rogermerriman | 7 years ago
1 like
rogermerriman wrote:

good though worth remebering that the figures are low so care is needed not to put too much weight on them, the killed figures wanders around the low teens most years, and has done for quite some time.

It would be nice to have some academic expert input to say whether-or-not this reduction means anything, statistically, because I really have no idea myself. I had noticed, just from being aware of news reports of accidents, that this year for the first time in a long time, we weren't getting about one death a month.

I'd love to believe it was because of cycling being so much in the news and more noticable on the streets, and motorists concquently getting more aware of cyclists, or an effect of the bit of decent cycling infrastructure that has actually been created recently, or some improvement in lorry safety... but it could just be random variation.

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Rod Marton replied to FluffyKittenofTindalos | 7 years ago
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FluffyKittenofTindalos wrote:
rogermerriman wrote:

good though worth remebering that the figures are low so care is needed not to put too much weight on them, the killed figures wanders around the low teens most years, and has done for quite some time.

It would be nice to have some academic expert input to say whether-or-not this reduction means anything, statistically, because I really have no idea myself. I had noticed, just from being aware of news reports of accidents, that this year for the first time in a long time, we weren't getting about one death a month. I'd love to believe it was because of cycling being so much in the news and more noticable on the streets, and motorists concquently getting more aware of cyclists, or an effect of the bit of decent cycling infrastructure that has actually been created recently, or some improvement in lorry safety... but it could just be random variation.

 

From my back of the envelope calculation, there is no statistical significance in the difference between the figures for 2014 and 2015, i.e. they are probably just random fluctuation (you can't say anything for certain in statistics). Whether there's a long-term improvement I don't know, the article doesn't give the data. If so, it would be much more interesting (if less dramatic) than reporting a statistical fluctuation.

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FluffyKittenofT... replied to rogermerriman | 7 years ago
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-cut-

No idea why this post appeared twice!

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Dnnnnnn | 7 years ago
0 likes

"The number of cyclists killed or seriously injured in London fell by 10 per cent in 2015, according to the latest figures from Transport for London (TfL).

According to TfL’s annual Casualties in Greater London report, the total number of people killed or seriously injured (KSIs) on London’s roads fell by three per cent in 2015 compared with 2014"

 

My bold. Took a couple of attempts to make sense of - presumably "people" means "all road users regardless of mode". Please  make things simple for us simpler folk, road.cc!

Anyway, let's note the progress and keep pressing for more and faster improvement.

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