Research from the Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and Nottingham University has found “increased odds of a collision crash” among cyclists who wear reflective clothing.
The transport minister, Jesse Norman, recently said that an upcoming government review may examine evidence on whether cyclists should be forced to wear helmets and reflective clothing.
The Sunday Times reports that the study suggests riders who believe they are more conspicuous may adopt more exposed positions on the road.
The researchers did go on to point out that the results “should be treated with caution” however, as they were based on only 76 accidents.
The Telegraph points to a larger study in Denmark, involving nearly 7,000 cyclists, which found cyclists suffered 47 per cent fewer accidents causing injuries if a bright yellow jacket was worn.
West Midlands Police’s plain clothes cyclists spurn hi-vis
Earlier this month, we reported on a study that recommended riders wear fluorescent leggings.
Researchers found that “a fluorescent yellow jersey did not significantly improve the cyclist’s conspicuity relative to a black jersey. However, when the cyclist paired the fluorescent jersey with fluorescent yellow leggings, participants responded from a distance 3.3x farther than an identical outfit with black leggings.”
They concluded that “highlighting a cyclist’s biological motion can provide powerful conspicuity enhancements. Thus fluorescent leggings can offer a powerful and low-tech tool for enhancing bicyclists’ daytime conspicuity.”
At the same time, 2013 research from the University of Bath and Brunel University found that no matter what clothing a cyclist wears, around 1-2 per cent of drivers will pass dangerously close when overtaking.
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The abstract for the paper states it "investigated whether increased conspicuity aid use (such as reflective or fluorescent clothing) is associated with a reduced risk of collision crashes for cyclists in a UK city.
Hi-viz can mean different things at different times (and to different people). Reflective is more specific, although it could also span a wide range of clothing.
Not very helpfully reported!
Agree dassie, the conclusion should be (if proven) that hi viz makes people adopt a more 'exposed' position on the road. The secondary thing to be tested is whether idiots in cars are more likely to hit you if you are in these positions.
Stoopid, researchers will often start with a theory they want to test or a large base sample and then as they progress find that the sample size diminishes. A nationally representative sample is usually 1,000 plus but if you then applied regular cyclists (10%) 100 sample, cyclists that wear hi viz (25%) 25 sample etc. you're soon down to a big caveat.
The other problem you have is if you just looked at 'sample' without methodology "The Nottingham study started with 76 accidents, then found 275 other cyclists to act as controls" it would appear that >20% of cyclists are wearing hi viz and having accidents...
It's the 21st century, technology has moved on, it seems archaic that there is even still a discussion about hi-viz. A mandatory proximity detection system funded by the automotive industry and new motorised vehicles that cannot exceed speed limits would both be far more appropriate and effective in the long-term.
Don't be so sure. A proximity system can not be 100% effective (think cyclists at the left of the road masked by passing cars) and its presence would no doubt make drivers even less attentive because they come to rely on it...
One last thing.
"The researchers did go on to point out that the results “should be treated with caution” however, as they were based on only 76 accidents."
Why did they bother with the research if they only intended to use 76 subjects? Total waste of money and peoples time if they have to put that statement in. People who believe in the magic of high viz will continue to believe in it, people who dont wont.
Not at all.
Basically, another researcher can use their findings to secure funding to undertake a larger / longer study and see if they get similar results.
This will have been very cheap & they've generated quite a bit of press coverage, I don't know if that counts towards REF.
I spent yesterday helping with the set up of a clinical trial.
The reason researchers use such small samples is to try to indicate there is a problem that is economically costly, and that more money needs to be spent to research it in more depth with a bigger sample of people.
Oh an all over reflective jacket is magic - well in my area at least. Very confusing to have car and van drivers stop and stare long before you need to cross their path.
In comparison, what if the 7000 cyclist study involved less than 76 collisions - which would be the more rigorous?
"the study suggests riders who believe they are more conspicuous may adopt more exposed positions on the road."
What exactly is a more exposed position then? Drivers need to pass cyclists with the required safe distance - end of. I always assert my road space - never cycling in the 'gutter', whether I'm wearing high vis or not, and I expect drivers to overtake safely - as the law does.
Wasn't there an amercian study that looked at 30 years of research regarding high viz with motorcyclists and concluded that it made no difference whatsoever? In fact there was a small rise in accidents.
Being seen from 2 miles/500 yards/50 yards away means nothing when you're hit by a vehicle 0 yards away...who's driver was probably speeding/looking at the phone/distracted or just not paying attention.
Having said that the vast majority of cyclists accidents are at junctions and side roads - it's relatively rare for someone to be hit from the front or behind, and yeah, it's all about how much the driver is rushing the looking part before they pull out....tunnel vision and so on. Loud motorcycles with headlights permanently on have exactly the same problem. People dont look long enough before they pull out to see everything or judge the speed of 2 wheeled riders before they make their move
Only 76 accidents? I wouldn't touch those conclusions with a barge pole, no matter the 'caution advised' label put on it by the researchers. it's also hard to compare with the Danish result as they say it's based on 7000 cyclists, and not how many accidents that goes up to. How many cyclists did the Nottinham study include? Or did they only look at accidents and what were the factors in them, and so ignore cyclists who have not been in an accident whether wearing hi-viz or not (which would be a foolish thing to do if you aim to draw conclusions on the efficacy of hi-viz clothing).
Anyone with a link to the actual study rather than simply journalists quoting each other?
The 47% figure from the Danish study is based on 126 (multiparty) accidents. The difference is that the Danish study started with 7000 cyclists, assigned hi-viz or not, then recorded what happened. The Nottingham study started with 76 accidents, then found 275 other cyclists to act as controls. What this does to the conclusions, i don't know..
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925753517313528
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214140516303796
My post was mis-timed, thanks for linking the research!
Dagnammit - I saw an article on the Bristol Post and just made a Forum post about it.
http://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/cyclists-who-wear-hi-vis-840505
Then, I spotted that Road.cc had picked up on the story.
And still of no use here in the UK until clothing manufacturers can design a high viz material, that will not stain with the black horrible waters that run down our roads when wet and ruin an expensive piece of kit.
Careful!
Say things like that and they'll make mudguards compulsary at the same time.
Solution : Fit mudguards and don't wear expensive kit.
I am always quite dubious about these sorts of studies. They all suffer from the same problem, of a rare incident (thankfully) and an unknown population being involved. Now depending on how you make these estimates it can skew your results (or impact any signficance testing). Because of these issues for each paper in favour of one thing you would be able to find another against it.
That being said, I do, owing to my own natural bias, welcome any evidence that removes unnecessary encumberance on cyclists. Or puts barriers in the way of people getting on their bikes and cycling.
Hopefully these considerations will be taken into account when the government do their "evidenced based" review in the new year, and not just go, "well common sense says..." as with many things the common sense view is not always empirically proven.
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